Lula's victory is a revolution for Brazil and, perhaps, for the world. For the first time in 500 years of Brazilian history, power will pass to a member who is not a representative of or comes from the Brazilian elite. What impresses me most about this is that we managed to make this change within the rules of the game. (democracy) and we verified a search for neutrality on the part of President Fernando Henrique, who could use the state machinery in favor of his candidate.
During election campaigns, Candidates must demonstrate their ability to modify what is bad and improve or preserve what is good. In order to minimize the costs of political mobilization of its voters, candidates need to simplify reality, showing the ease of implementing the necessary reforms or changing macro-economic characteristics without causing greater trauma to society. After the elections, the perfect world begins to change and some things, previously taken for granted, they begin to undergo explanations and are relativized.
The success of his government will depend on the capacity of the Lula government to mobilize the bureaucratic structure.. The center of the governmental structure is something desired by everyone and has a capacity to project power that has a significant impact on the national political game.. The Fernando Henrique government followed an internal political line that left it hostage to a Congress with a majority ha doc, needing to build support on a daily basis. As impressed as we may be with Lula's victory and the prospects for change, We must keep in mind the danger that Lula ends up playing the same game and we have a corrupt PT government.
At first glance, still in the flow of facts, we can say that the (neo)liberalism has lost its strength and is beginning to show signs of exhaustion and that we will return to JK's national-developmentalism, who knows, maybe even putting Simonsen back in fashion. Republican America was so desperate in its search for immediate results, that opened space for the emergence of alternative models. Brazil is the first major country to choose a path different from that advocated by the USA (through the IMF, of the WTO and the World Bank). In the dimension of international historical-ideological reference, we will likely shift our guidance focus to France. A Mercosur-European Union partnership could be an interesting alternative to the current model of Brazilian insertion in the international scenario.
Anyway, We will have to wait for President-elect Lula to take office and start his government to see what will happen. The real changes, if they come, will only arrive in 2004, since next year the PT will still be acclimating to the federal government, even because they never had any experience in this sense. As they say, "é pagar para ver". Pay we pay at the polls, all that’s left is for the show to start.
Moral of the hist & oacute; ria: in blind land, one-eyed is king.
Council Liter & aacute; rio:
"Mas, even now, every time (often) I happen to not understand something, So, instinctively, I have the hope that this will be a good opportunity again for me to return to the state in which I no longer understood anything, so that taking hold of this different wisdom, found and lost at the same moment"
A general in the Library – Italo Calvino
Originally published in:
magazine Author
Pol & iacute; tica
Year II – N. 17 – November 2002
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